Are Obama Supporters Overconfident?

Everyone seems to be confident that Barack Obama is going to be our next president. Being the nervous type, I am one Obama supporter who is hopeful but thinks it is too early to celebrate.

Sure, the polls look good. Really, really good. The latest Newsweek poll finds Obama leading McCain 53 percent to 41 percent, while the most recent CBS News/The New York Times poll has Obama beating McCain 52 percent to 39 percent, and the Big Ten Battleground Poll gives Obama 52 percent of the vote and McCain 43 percent.

The mother of all polls, CNN's Poll of Polls—made up of data from seven surveys, including Pew, Gallup and Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby polls—has Obama raking in 51 percent of the vote and McCain at 43 percent.

And even America's youth believe Obama is going to win. The Weekly Reader just surveyed U.S. students from kindergarten age to high school seniors, and they gave Obama 54.7 percent of the vote, while McCain netted 42.9 percent.

All of this poll data makes many Obama supporters positively giddy. A few of my friends are already planning their election night parties in celebration of Obama's win.

Meanwhile, key Republican pundits are even predicting that McCain is going to lose.

But let's not forget that things can change on a dime in political races. It was just last year that no one thought McCain would even become the Republican nominee, and Obama was seen as a shoe-in to win New Hampshire's Democratic primary where Senator Hillary Clinton ultimately trounced him.

McCain, for one, isn't admitting defeat. In fact, he is fired up and is promising his supporters a win in November, and I don't think that he is delusional.

I don't want McCain to win, but I think anything could happen with less than a week until the election. So I'm not popping the champagne cork in celebration of an Obama victory just yet. In fact, I worry that people will be so confident of an Obama win that they'll think they don't need to vote. I'm urging everyone to get out and vote on November 4. I have been sending out this customizable video produced by MoveOn.org—it is genius—to show them what could happen if they don't. Check it out, and send it to your friends, too!

How are you feeling about Obama's chances? Do you think McCain could come from behind in the polls and pull out a win?

(Image courtesy of Getty)

Comments

[Gay Democrat]

obviously, i'm a Obama supporter. however, i still have problems with Obama's and Biden's stance on gay issues. sometimes they are very pro-gay, other times they step away from the plate.

Biden says NO on CA's Prop 8 (on Ellen, no less) then YES to keeping marriage between a man and woman (VP debate).

plus, as much as i don't support Palin, she's for same-sex couple benefits.

check out where the candidates say their ACTUAL positions on video:

http://tv1.com/playlists/show/13

(esp the debate between Obama and Keyes...Keyes is scary!)

[jacksmith]

I see you all have not lost your fight :

GOOD! Because we have a lot to do. You! (the American people) are going to have to take back control of your elected government at every level, and set your government back on the right path of service to you, and the greater good of the World.

Barack Obama and the democrats are your best hope of doing that now. Tell your family, friends, and everyone you know to support them as best they can. Because the Bush McCain vote fraud, vote cheating, vote buying, vote manipulation machine is already hard at work to cheat you again. And we all know what a disaster that has been the past 8 years of Bush McCain.

Barack Obama and the democrats will need all the power you can give them at every level of government (Federal, State, County, and local City elected governments). Obama and the democrats will have an enormous mess to fix for the American people, and the rest of the World. A mess caused by the corrupt Bush McCain administration.

You see, starting back in 2000, and before 911, it was mostly the Republican governors, Republican legislatures, and county elected Republican officials that conspired with the corrupt Bush McCain administration to raise college, and university tuitions by the fastest, and highest rate increases in American history. Some state tuitions went up by as much as a WHOPPING! 30% in one year.

The reason the Bush McCain administration did this was to force struggling working class kids into the military to pay for the sudden jump in tuition. Which was forced on them by the corrupt Bush McCain administration, and their corrupt Republican Governors, and republican controlled state legislatures.

See, Bush McCain had plans to get us into all these immoral, foolish, criminal, and unnecessary wars from the start. So they could use these wars to seize power, and later to get reelected. But, for their evil plan to work they needed more volunteer soldiers struggling to pay for an education whose blood they could spill to help them seize more power. Remember Bush McCain's "MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!" theatrics.

The exploitation, and lost lives of these finest Americans is despicable, disgusting, immoral, corrupt and criminal. And it makes me SICK, and ANGRY!

You will have to vote for Obama, and the democrats in overwhelming numbers to overcome the Bush McCain vote fraud machine. Vote early if you can. Then help your fellow Americans cast their votes now, and on through election day. Vote for Obama, and the democrats like your life, and the lives of your loved ones depends on it. Because it does. You will not survive 4 more years of "Let Them Eat Cake" Bush McCain, and their republican allies.

Just look at the mess we have now.

You can fix this mess with your votes for Obama, and the democrats. And REMEMBER, no matter which of us may stumble or fall, the rest of you must continue to surge forward for Barack Obama, and the democrats, and for your-selves most of all. The children, and the World are counting on us.

It's in your hands now. And I know you will get it done.

God bless all of you.

JACK SMITH - WORKING CLASS... :-)

[Bradley]

I got two words for you Dumb Ass. Of Course your support is so overconfident. I mean come on......

[custom dissertation]

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